BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 80 Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 151.49
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/23/2025 Away L * 136.71 7 31 1A 53 ( 5- 7) Kansas -14.31 -9.49 -9.69
2 08/30/2025 Home W * 167.52 42 14 1A 107 ( 7- 6) Georgia Southern 16.49 -4.78 11.51
3 09/06/2025 Away W * 152.92 36 27 1A 115 ( 2-10) Oregon St 1.89 15.04 7.11
4 09/13/2025 Home W 145.44 56 7 1B 124 ( 2-10) Southern U. -5.59 * 38.58 54.59
5 09/20/2025 Away W * * 154.46 23 21 1A 79 ( 9- 4) Hawaii 3.43 4.21 -1.43
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 141.72 20 17 1A 111 ( 3- 9) Nevada -9.31 20.58 12.31
7 10/10/2025 Away L * * 114.18 21 49 1A 119 ( 2-10) Colorado St -36.85 11.00 8.85
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 133.65 0 23 1A 62 ( 9- 4) San Diego St -17.38 -10.87 -5.62
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 184.06 30 7 1A 55 ( 9- 5) Boise St 33.04 -22.56 -10.04
10 11/15/2025 Home W * * 162.33 24 3 1A 103 ( 4- 8) Wyoming 11.30 2.85 9.70
11 11/22/2025 Home L * * 140.00 17 28 1A 78 ( 6- 7) Utah St -11.02 0.60 0.02
12 11/29/2025 Away W * * 167.64 41 14 1A 118 ( 3- 9) San Jose St 16.62 6.81 10.38
13 12/27/2025 Neutral W * 162.73 18 3 1A 91 ( 7- 7) Miami OH 11.70 1.42 3.30
Averages 151.03 25.8 18.8
Best game: 184.06 = 23 point win over Boise St
Worst game: 114.18 = 28 point loss to Colorado St
Team stdev: 18.31