BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 86 Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  149.91
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/23/2025 Away    L   * 137.53   7  31   1A  51 ( 5- 5) Kansas                -11.81     -9.49  -12.19                      
 2 08/30/2025 Home    W   * 166.61  42  14   1A 110 ( 5- 5) Georgia Southern       17.27     -4.78   10.73                      
 3 09/06/2025 Away    W   * 152.79  36  27   1A 116 ( 2- 9) Oregon St               3.45     15.04    5.55                      
 4 09/13/2025 Home    W     144.21  56   7   1B 125 ( 1-10) Southern U.            -5.14 *   38.58   54.14                      
 5 09/20/2025 Away    W * * 155.24  23  21   1A  72 ( 7- 3) Hawaii                  5.90      4.21   -3.90                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 140.83  20  17   1A 111 ( 2- 8) Nevada                 -8.51     20.57   11.51                      
 7 10/10/2025 Away    L * * 115.43  21  49   1A 114 ( 2- 8) Colorado St           -33.91     11.00    5.91                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    L * * 133.56   0  23   1A  59 ( 8- 2) San Diego St          -15.78    -10.84   -7.22                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 182.85  30   7   1A  60 ( 6- 4) Boise St               33.50    -22.57  -10.50                      
10 11/15/2025 Home    W * * 164.38  24   3   1A  99 ( 4- 6) Wyoming                15.04      2.63    5.96                      
11 11/22/2025 Home      * *                  1A  80 ( 5- 5) Utah St                                   0.46            
12 11/29/2025 Away      * *                  1A 112 ( 3- 7) San Jose St                               7.86            
      Averages             149.34  25.9 19.9

Best game:  182.85 = 23 point win over Boise St
Worst game: 115.43 = 28 point loss to Colorado St
Team stdev:  19.24